Northern Ireland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
NIR
0 - 1
NED
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
NIR
2 - 0
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
ISL
1 - 0
NIR
26%
23%
50%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1977 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
SCO
3 - 0
NIR
73%
18%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
BEL
4 - 0
ISL
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1977 |
ITA
2 - 1
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
NIR
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |