Northern Ireland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
FRO
0 - 5
NIR
18%
29%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
NIR
1 - 1
FRO
81%
13%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
YUG
4 - 1
NIR
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1991 |
NIR
3 - 1
POL
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
AUT
0 - 0
NIR
68%
22%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
AUT
0 - 3
DEN
49%
28%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
DEN
2 - 1
AUT
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1991 |
AUT
3 - 0
FRO
90%
8%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SWE
6 - 0
AUT
56%
25%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |