Northern Ireland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1983 |
NIR
0 - 1
WAL
47%
29%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
NIR
0 - 0
ENG
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
SCO
0 - 0
NIR
69%
20%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
NIR
1 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
NIR
2 - 1
TUR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 2
AUT
13%
26%
61%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1983 |
AUT
2 - 2
SUN
43%
27%
29%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
AUT
0 - 0
BRD
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
AUT
4 - 0
TUR
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
AUT
2 - 0
NIR
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |