Northern Ireland vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
NIR
0 - 1
UKR
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
NIR
1 - 1
GER
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
NIR
1 - 2
SWE
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
NIR
0 - 2
NOR
43%
28%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
NIR
5 - 3
AUT
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ARM
0 - 0
POR
15%
25%
60%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1996 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1996 |
PER
4 - 0
ARM
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
ARM
95%
4%
1%
|
70 | 95 | 25 | 0 |