Northern Ireland vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
2 - 5
ENG
20%
20%
61%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
WAL
3 - 2
NIR
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NIR
0 - 4
SCO
44%
23%
34%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1959 |
NIR
4 - 1
WAL
48%
20%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1960 |
ISL
0 - 5
BRD
37%
23%
41%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
FIN
3 - 2
BRD
25%
20%
56%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1960 |
BRD
2 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
51%
21%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |