Northern Ireland vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
NIR
2 - 1
TUR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1982 |
ALB
0 - 0
NIR
22%
26%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
NIR
1 - 0
BRD
14%
23%
64%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
AUT
2 - 0
NIR
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1982 |
FRA
4 - 1
NIR
75%
15%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 2
BRD
3%
14%
83%
|
65 | 93 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1982 |
ALB
0 - 0
NIR
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
TUR
1 - 0
ALB
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
AUT
5 - 0
ALB
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
BRD
8 - 0
ALB
96%
3%
1%
|
65 | 94 | 29 | 0 |