Iraq vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRQ
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
IRN
1 - 2
IRQ
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
IDN
0 - 4
IRQ
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1995 |
MAS
1 - 2
IRQ
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
IRQ
3 - 1
THA
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
THA
1 - 3
IRN
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
6 - 0
THA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1996 |
THA
0 - 4
BGR
26%
28%
47%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
THA
1 - 0
MAS
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
THA
4 - 2
VIE
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |