Iraq vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
IRQ
2 - 3
QAT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
IRQ
4 - 1
KSA
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
UAE
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
IRQ
3 - 0
YEM
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
QAT
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
QAT
2 - 2
SYR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 1
SYR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
SYR
1 - 1
AUS
29%
26%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
IRN
2 - 2
SYR
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
SYR
3 - 1
QAT
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |