Iraq vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
TWN
1 - 4
IRQ
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
3 - 0
IRQ
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
1 - 2
IRQ
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
18%
70%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
PLE
0 - 3
UZB
13%
19%
67%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
UZB
2 - 2
BHR
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
0 - 1
UZB
18%
20%
62%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
UZB
1 - 0
KSA
16%
22%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
IRQ
0 - 1
UZB
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |