Iraq vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.8%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 5
IRQ
5%
12%
83%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
1 - 1
IRQ
23%
23%
53%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
4 - 0
NPL
85%
11%
3%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
NPL
0 - 1
BGD
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |