Iraq vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
OMA
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KWT
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KSA
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
MEX
3 - 0
CAN
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 0
URU
55%
26%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |