Iraq vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
13.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.3%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.6%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.2%
1.3%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
JPN
4 - 1
IRQ
45%
23%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
THA
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 1
HKG
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
JPN
3 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 1
SGP
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRN
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
MAC
2 - 1
NPL
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +3 |