Iraq vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 0
ARE
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
THA
1 - 2
IRQ
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 1
JPN
15%
23%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
0 - 0
KOR
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 0
JOR
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
KEN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
MRT
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SLE
2 - 1
KEN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
KEN
2 - 2
COD
15%
22%
64%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |