Iraq vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRQ
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
BHR
2 - 0
IRQ
12%
20%
69%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
IRQ
4 - 0
THA
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SCG
2 - 2
IRQ
30%
24%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
THA
0 - 0
IRN
36%
25%
40%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
IRN
2 - 0
KSA
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
SVK
3 - 4
IRN
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
IRN
4 - 0
BIH
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
IRN
5 - 2
OMA
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |