Asian Cup Final

Iraq vs UAE analysis

Iraq UAE
75 ELO 80
-17.1% Tilt -4.3%
329º General ELO ranking 504º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.9%
Iraq
26.4%
Draw
43.7%
UAE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
Iraq
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.7%
Win probability
UAE
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Iraq
+12%
+6%
UAE

ELO progression

Iraq
UAE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iraq
Iraq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2015
KOR
South Korea
2 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
63%
21%
15%
76 86 10 0
23 Jan. 2015
IRN
Iran
3 - 3
Iraq
IRQ
66%
20%
14%
76 87 11 0
20 Jan. 2015
IRQ
Iraq
2 - 0
Palestine
PLE
68%
21%
11%
76 56 20 0
16 Jan. 2015
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 1
Japan
JPN
14%
21%
64%
76 88 12 0
12 Jan. 2015
JOR
Jordan
0 - 1
Iraq
IRQ
33%
27%
40%
76 74 2 0

Matches

UAE
UAE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2015
AUS
Australia
2 - 0
UAE
UAE
57%
23%
20%
80 86 6 0
23 Jan. 2015
JPN
Japan
1 - 1
UAE
UAE
67%
19%
14%
80 88 8 0
19 Jan. 2015
IRN
Iran
1 - 0
UAE
UAE
61%
22%
17%
80 86 6 0
15 Jan. 2015
BHR
Bahrain
1 - 2
UAE
UAE
33%
25%
41%
80 74 6 0
11 Jan. 2015
UAE
UAE
4 - 1
Catar
QAT
47%
24%
29%
79 80 1 +1
X