Iraq vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
KSA
1 - 1
IRQ
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 0
IRQ
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KWT
2 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PLE
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
IRQ
1 - 1
SYR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
UAE
0 - 0
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
IRN
2 - 1
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MMR
0 - 3
BOL
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KSA
2 - 2
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SRB
5 - 1
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -2 |