Iraq vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
OMA
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KWT
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KSA
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1986 |
QAT
1 - 1
IRQ
7%
23%
70%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
BGR
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
BEL
62%
24%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |