Iraq vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
6 - 0
IRQ
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRQ
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 1
OMA
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
JOR
1 - 1
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 1
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
JOR
2 - 1
AUS
20%
27%
53%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 3
AUS
13%
25%
62%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SCO
3 - 1
AUS
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 1
JPN
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 0
AUS
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |