Iraq vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
BHR
2 - 0
IRQ
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
IRQ
1 - 0
YEM
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 1
IRQ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
IRQ
0 - 0
JOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 2
IRQ
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
YEM
2 - 3
KSA
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KSA
2 - 3
BHR
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
KSA
3 - 1
TTO
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
IDN
2 - 0
KSA
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 0
KSA
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |