Iraq vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
UAE
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
IRQ
3 - 0
YEM
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
QAT
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRQ
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KEN
67%
22%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
KSA
3 - 0
MDA
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
KSA
0 - 2
OMA
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2017 |
UAE
0 - 0
KSA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
KWT
1 - 2
KSA
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
BGR
1 - 0
KSA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |