Iraq vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
KOR
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
2 - 0
VNM
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
OMN
0 - 0
IRQ
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
3 - 1
AUS
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
IRQ
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
2 - 3
SAU
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
SAU
2 - 1
UZB
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
SAU
4 - 0
BHR
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
IDN
1 - 2
SAU
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
KOR
1 - 1
SAU
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |