Iraq vs Palestine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.4%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 2
UZB
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
TWN
1 - 4
IRQ
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
3 - 0
IRQ
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
1 - 2
IRQ
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palestine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
TWN
0 - 1
PLE
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
PLE
0 - 3
UZB
13%
19%
67%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
BHR
1 - 0
PLE
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
2 - 1
PLE
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
PLE
1 - 1
JOR
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |