Iraq vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
17.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
39%
22%
39%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1968 |
IDN
2 - 1
IRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
THA
0 - 4
IRQ
39%
22%
39%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
LBY
0 - 1
IRQ
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1967 |
SDN
2 - 2
IRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1968 |
THA
1 - 0
IDN
44%
21%
35%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
THA
2 - 1
IDN
42%
21%
37%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1968 |
IDN
2 - 1
IRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1967 |
IDN
0 - 2
AUS
40%
22%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
IDN
3 - 0
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |