Iraq vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRQ
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
TUN
2 - 0
IRQ
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
IRQ
3 - 2
JOR
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
IRQ
1 - 0
SYR
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
1 - 0
IRQ
53%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
IRN
15%
25%
60%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KHM
1 - 1
HKG
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
TWN
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 5
HKG
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |