Iraq vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1980 |
POL
3 - 0
IRQ
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
IRQ
1 - 0
POL
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
IRQ
1 - 1
POL
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
IRQ
2 - 0
KSA
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
IRQ
5 - 0
NPL
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1980 |
VEN
1 - 1
CRC
25%
25%
51%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1980 |
CRC
3 - 0
CUB
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1980 |
CRC
2 - 1
GTM
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
GTM
0 - 0
CRC
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |