Iraq vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
QAT
2 - 1
IRQ
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UZB
2 - 1
IRQ
47%
26%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 0
VIE
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
2 - 2
THA
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
IRQ
0 - 1
SYR
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
PHL
3 - 2
PRK
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
PRK
2 - 0
BHR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
UZB
3 - 1
PRK
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
PRK
1 - 0
YEM
76%
18%
7%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
PRK
0 - 0
PHL
68%
20%
11%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |