Iraq vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
TTO
2 - 0
IRQ
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
PLE
1 - 1
IRQ
8%
16%
75%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
UZB
1 - 1
IRQ
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
JPN
2 - 0
IRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
QAT
0 - 0
IRQ
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TWN
0 - 1
UZB
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
PLE
8 - 0
TWN
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 3
TWN
42%
22%
36%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
LKA
2 - 1
TWN
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |