Iran vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
13%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2000 |
IRN
19 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 2
KOR
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 1
THA
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
0 - 4
IRN
12%
21%
66%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
TJK
16 - 0
GUM
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
IDN
1 - 0
TJK
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
TJK
3 - 3
OMA
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 1998 |
TJK
0 - 5
IRN
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
CHN
3 - 1
TJK
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |