Iran vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 2
KSA
62%
23%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
KWT
0 - 1
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 0
KEN
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 1
KOR
49%
26%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
THA
0 - 0
IRN
10%
18%
72%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
OMA
2 - 0
SEN
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 1
GHA
44%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CIV
0 - 0
SEN
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SEN
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |