Iran vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
IRN
1 - 1
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SYR
2 - 4
IRN
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
IRQ
0 - 0
IRN
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
IRN
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
IRN
0 - 1
JOR
73%
18%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
VEN
1 - 0
URU
27%
25%
48%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
SEN
3 - 3
URU
11%
21%
68%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2002 |
FRA
0 - 0
URU
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
URU
1 - 2
DEN
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
SGP
1 - 2
URU
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |