Iran vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
IRN
9 - 1
PAK
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
IRN
0 - 0
TUR
50%
21%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1965 |
IRN
4 - 1
PAK
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1965 |
IRN
2 - 1
TUR
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1965 |
IRN
1 - 2
TUR
49%
21%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CSK
3 - 1
TUR
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
TUR
2 - 1
ROU
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
TUR
0 - 6
CSK
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
IRN
0 - 0
TUR
50%
21%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1965 |
TUR
3 - 1
PAK
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |