Iran vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
UZB
0 - 0
IRN
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
UAE
0 - 1
IRN
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
IRN
1 - 0
KGZ
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
IRN
0 - 0
UZB
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HKG
2 - 4
IRN
6%
18%
76%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
QAT
3 - 1
KGZ
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
PRK
2 - 2
QAT
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 3
UAE
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
QAT
2 - 1
IND
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
AFG
0 - 0
QAT
7%
17%
76%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |