Iran vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
KWT
3 - 1
IRN
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
1 - 0
LBN
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 3
IRN
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
PRK
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
PRK
1 - 3
IRN
15%
20%
64%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
BHR
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 0
QAT
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 2
QAT
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
QAT
3 - 0
YEM
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
NPL
0 - 0
QAT
16%
23%
62%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |