Iran vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
IRN
0 - 1
ESP
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
IRN
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
LTU
0 - 1
IRN
21%
27%
53%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
IRN
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
IRN
1 - 0
UZB
68%
19%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
ALG
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
TUN
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |