Iran vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TTO
0 - 2
IRN
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 1
ANG
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
MNE
0 - 0
IRN
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
BLR
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 2
GUI
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
NGA
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GRC
0 - 0
NGA
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 2
SCO
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 0
NGA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |