Iran vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 0
MTN
95%
4%
1%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
QAT
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
JOR
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
IDN
1 - 4
IRN
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRN
22%
26%
53%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 1
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
NAM
3 - 0
MOZ
40%
25%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MOZ
4 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |