Iran vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 0
IRN
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
IRN
1 - 2
IRQ
55%
19%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1962 |
IRN
1 - 1
IRQ
56%
19%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1958 |
KOR
5 - 0
IRN
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1958 |
ISR
4 - 0
IRN
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
3 - 1
MEX
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
MEX
3 - 1
CSK
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
85%
10%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1962 |
MEX
2 - 1
WAL
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |