Iran vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 1
KOR
49%
26%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
THA
0 - 0
IRN
10%
18%
72%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
IRN
6 - 0
SGP
92%
7%
1%
|
91 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
IRN
3 - 1
CHN
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 2
IRN
32%
27%
41%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 0
KEN
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
1 - 0
KEN
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 1
TAN
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
0 - 1
KEN
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
DJI
1 - 5
KEN
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |