Iran vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1997 |
QAT
2 - 0
IRN
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
IRN
0 - 0
KWT
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRN
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
IRN
4 - 1
CHN
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
IRN
3 - 0
QAT
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
JPN
5 - 1
KAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
KOR
0 - 2
JPN
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
JPN
1 - 1
UAE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
UZB
1 - 1
JPN
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
KAZ
1 - 1
JPN
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |