Iran vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
IRN
2 - 1
PRK
77%
14%
8%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1990 |
IRN
3 - 0
MAS
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
IRN
0 - 1
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1990 |
IRN
0 - 2
POL
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
KWT
1 - 0
IRN
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
KSA
2 - 0
JPN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
JPN
3 - 0
BGD
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1990 |
JPN
0 - 1
PRK
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1990 |
CHN
1 - 0
JPN
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |