Iran vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
IRN
0 - 0
CHN
59%
25%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRN
44%
30%
27%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
KOR
3 - 0
IRN
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1988 |
IRN
1 - 0
UAE
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
IRN
0 - 0
JPN
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 9 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 3
CHN
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1988 |
OMA
1 - 1
JPN
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
2 - 0
JPN
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |