Iran vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UZB
0 - 0
IRN
25%
27%
49%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
BHR
4 - 2
IRN
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 3
IRN
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
IRN
15%
26%
60%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 1
IRN
44%
28%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 0
RSA
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ISL
3 - 1
GEO
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 1
SVK
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 0
ISL
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |