Iran vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
SYR
0 - 0
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
47%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRN
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
CHN
0 - 0
IRN
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
UAE
2 - 0
IRQ
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRQ
4 - 0
THA
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 1
IRQ
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KSA
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |