Iran vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
IRN
1 - 1
THA
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
0 - 4
IRN
12%
21%
66%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
QAT
1 - 2
IRN
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
AUT
5 - 1
IRN
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
IRN
2 - 1
GEO
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
THA
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CHN
4 - 1
IRQ
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
UZB
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
IRQ
4 - 1
JOR
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |