Iran vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1996 |
IRN
0 - 1
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRN
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
KWT
0 - 1
IRN
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
28%
26%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
IRN
2 - 0
QAT
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
IDN
0 - 4
IRQ
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1995 |
MAS
1 - 2
IRQ
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
IRQ
3 - 1
THA
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
IND
1 - 1
IRQ
7%
18%
75%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1993 |
IRQ
2 - 2
JPN
59%
26%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |