Iran vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
IRN
5 - 2
OMA
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
QAT
2 - 1
IRN
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
BIH
2 - 2
IRN
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
CAN
1 - 0
IRN
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
IRN
0 - 1
KOR
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
BIH
2 - 2
IRN
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
UZB
2 - 1
BIH
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2001 |
MAS
2 - 2
BIH
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
BHR
0 - 1
BIH
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
ESP
4 - 1
BIH
95%
4%
1%
|
76 | 98 | 22 | 0 |