WC Play Offs Final
Global 3-3
Iran vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
IRN
2 - 3
JPN
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1997 |
QAT
2 - 0
IRN
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
IRN
0 - 0
KWT
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRN
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
IRN
4 - 1
CHN
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
TUN
0 - 3
AUS
36%
30%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
0 - 3
AUS
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
TAH
0 - 2
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
2 - 6
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |