WC Qual. Asia Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Iran vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
AUS
3 - 0
IRN
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
NZL
0 - 0
IRN
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
IRN
1 - 0
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
DEN
4 - 0
IRN
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
HUN
5 - 0
IRN
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
AUS
3 - 0
IRN
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
PHL
0 - 6
AUS
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |