Iran vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
IRN
7 - 0
LAO
95%
5%
1%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 3
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
IRN
0 - 2
GER
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
JOR
0 - 2
IRN
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 2
BHR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
PAN
3 - 0
SLV
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
USA
6 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
9%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 1
JAM
37%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 1
USA
19%
28%
54%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
JAM
1 - 2
PAN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |