Iran vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
30%
27%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2007 |
JOR
0 - 1
IRN
18%
26%
56%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
IRN
2 - 0
PLE
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
IRN
0 - 0
IRQ
66%
21%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRN
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 2
JAM
18%
25%
58%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
VIE
3 - 0
JAM
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
IDN
2 - 1
JAM
24%
27%
50%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
JAM
0 - 1
CHI
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
JAM
1 - 1
PAN
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |